News
RPM does it again in queensland
With over three-quarters of the votes counted, Resolve's polling for The Brisbane Times (and Nine more generally) has proven very accurate yet again, despite our approach of polling 1-2 weeks out from election day. We correctly predicted the primary and TPP results without our error margin, the narrowing of vote during the campaign and the modest LNP majority off the back of larger swings outside Brisbane. Click the graphic above to view the results and how the major polls fared.
rpm CORRECT AGAIN IN NSW
The Resolve Political Monitor conducted polling for the 2023 NSW election for The Sydney Morning Herald (SMH), and the results were yet again within the error margins of its final poll for every party and independents on both primary and TPP vote. Unlike some other polls, we correctly predicted a minorty Labor government as the outcome, not a majority. This despite fieldwork being conducted in the penultimate week of the campaign and a swing to Labor in the final week. Click the logo above to read more.
rpm DOES IT AGAIN in victoria
The Resolve Political Monitor conducted polling for the 2022 Victorian election for The Age, and has again proven to be highly accurate with its final poll (as it was in its debut at the 2022 federal election). Click the image above for our assessment of accuracy.
After two-thirds of the vote has been counted, the RPM is the most accurate of the seven published polls overall, had each party's primary vote within 1%, and was one of just two polls to correctly predict each party's primary and TPP vote to within its margin of error.
rpm MOST ACCURATE 2022 POLL
The Resolve Political Monitor, conducted for The SMH and The Age, has proven to be the most accurate and insightful poll on its debut at the 2022 federal election. Click the image above for our assessment of the published polls' accuracy.
It picked the winner to the highest degree of accuracy, was unique in correctly measuring all party results within its margin of error, was the only poll to predict Labor's historically low primary vote, was the first poll to pick up the narrowing in the last week, and correctly identified the huge early vote and unprecedented 'other' vote (inc. the high Greens and independents in inner city seats).
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